Global LNG Supply Risk
Because LNG-import infrastructure and associated power generation facilities take many years to develop, certainty around supply is vital for energy planning in Asia.
Furthermore, the ability of emerging nations to use LNG is price-sensitive, meaning there must be sufficient global supply to ensure LNG is affordable for all of Asia.
Any perceived or real energy policy uncertainty in major LNG exporting nations – such as the US and Australia – provides a barrier to long-term energy planning in Asia.
The 2024 halt to export approvals in the US, the world’s biggest LNG exporter, cast doubt on future supply that customers in Asia had been relying on. While approvals have now resumed, the ‘pause’ highlighted the challenge that would be posed by any instances of restricted or reduced supply from key exporters.
Australia has been Asia’s most long-standing provider of LNG, particularly to Japan and South Korea.
The Australian Future Gas Strategy has been welcomed but there are concerns in Asia that Australia may choose to address domestic energy security issues at the expense of LNG exports.
Australia has sufficient gas resources and reserves to meet both its own needs and those of Asia, and it’s important that it acts to do so.